Tag Archives: volatile

Investing In Volatile Market

Be careful about putting too much into the stock of the company you work for. Clearly, if this crowd is correct, then I will have been wrong owning too much GLD. Shoring up your defences is always a good thing, but too much of a good thing can become a bad thing. Investing in sports cards can be both fun and profitable. Remember that investing 401(k) funds into the stock market also means that the funds need to be self-directed and not directed by the administrator of the plan. They can even work in the corporate sector as every industry need financial experts to maintain their company capital flow and balance sheet. Can stock prices go beyond these all time highs? So, you have two teenage kids, reaching puberty and driving age at about the same time. When the value rises – as it has these past two years – the yield will fall when expressed as a percentage, and when markets fall the yield will rise.

Two regional Fed banks reported yesterday: (1) the Dallas Fed’s February manufacturing index grew but at about half the expected rate and (2) the January Chicago Fed’s national activity index was disappointing. I have to rate it a plus for the simple reason that this pattern fits our Model. The VIX declined, remaining within its intermediate term downtrend—a plus for stocks. A break above this trend line would be a negative for stocks. I note that there are now 18 stocks out of our 157 stock Universe that are on the cusp of challenging the upper boundary of multi year trading ranges. Along those lines, Reid is already crawfishing on the likely deficit reduction actions that would forestall the sequester saying that there has to be more tax increases. This doesn’t mean the majority of the market thinks the company is worth that, only that a few people are willing to pay that much, and a few more are unwilling to sell.

As an investor in dividend paying stocks, people tell me all the time that the stock market is for gamblers. Its the perfect time to get involved right now as a real estate investor. Then the unthinkable happened—Boehner couldn’t get enough GOP votes to get passed. Would I then still have sufficient funds to retire? ElectronicsI can still remember my first time like it was yesterday. Bottom line: the Holiday party resumed yesterday. Bottom line: hello, 14140/1576; here we come. Nearly all trading platforms come with a practice account, sometimes called a simulated account or demo account. GLD was up big, finishing back above the lower boundary of its short term downtrend and above the lower boundary of its intermediate term trading range. In the meantime, loss avoidance is the first order of business; hence our Portfolios sale of one half of their GLD investment position. However, I am willing to accept the cost of trading out and then back into a position to insure that our Portfolios preserve a profit. Is there a back testable systematic way of switching models on and off that works? I don’t think that this is necessarily the case but it is certainly a challenge to our current investment strategy and it tells me that I need to redouble my normal effort to test the assumptions in our Models.

This means that you will need to provide your name and email address to the forum. Click on it and you will arrive at a search page. Our Portfolios will continue to lighten up as prices rise. So why are our Portfolios Selling? That depreciation number is actually quite reasonable, but the income expectation is high (also bearing in mind that it’s not easy to qualify as a real estate professional if you are holding down another job). The VIX was actually up (typically it is down on an up Market day). This unusual pin action on the VIX suggests that there could be some serious hedging going on. There could also be more fundamental reasons: (1) it was rumored that China cancelled a major soybean purchase—suggesting that its economy, and by extension the global economy, is weaker than currently believed. What is a lot more strange: The quotationed keyword-phrase: “Learn to type a lot faster” has no ranking on the very first webpage!